UFC 226 Breakdowns & Predictions

Devon’s Take: Although Brian Ortega remains undefeated, Max Holloway is the more well-rounded fighter. His striking rate is nearly double Ortega’s, and his accuracy standing up is 11.73% higher as well. Holloway has three straight successful title defenses, and all of his defenses ended in a third-round finish.

Rami’s Take: This is going to be a huge step for both fighters. Max Holloway is one of the best strikers the Featherweight division has ever seen, while Brian Ortega has the best grappling and submission finishes in the industry. Both men are the same age and at this point, the fight could go either way. Regardless of the outcome, this will be a must-watch event.

Devon’s Take: Neither fighter wants this match to go to the ground, so expect a lot of heavy hits until someone falls. The fact of the matter is that Francis Ngannou has yet to let one of his wins go to the judge’s table, and this time around shouldn’t be different. I expect for Ngannou to knock out Derrick Lewis, who has been knocked out in three of his five career fights.

Rami’s Take: This fight will not make it to the ground unless either fighter lands a clean strike and knocks their opponent out. If this bout makes it to judge’s table, it won’t necessarily place Francis Ngannou or Derrick Lewis in line for a title shot. On the other hand, but if either fighter keeps the night short, it could very well guarantee themselves a Heavyweight Championship fight.

Devon’s Take: Both fighters have a similar striking rate, but Anthony Pettis is more accurate in his attempts in striking and takedowns. If Chiesa can remain patient and wait for a gap, it would be his first victory since April of 2016. I believe this one will be close, but Chiesa has a lot more to lose.

Rami’s Take: Both Michael Chiesa and Anthony Pettis are seeking a title match, and this bout could be a statement for either fighter. Chiesa and Pettis are able to finish matches standing or on the ground. Chiesa will attempt to use the ground game, while Pettis is ore comfortable on his feet.

Devon’s Take: While many won’t recognize Gokhan Saki, others will remember Khalil Rountree Jr from his time on The Ultimater Fighter (season 23). Rountree Jr finished as the runner-up, losing in unanimous decision to Andrew Sanchez. It seems as though Rountree Jr specializes in striking, but has an incapability to defend the ground game. I expect for this bout to remain standing, as Rountree Jr catches a lucky break.

Rami’s Take: This will only be Gokhan Saki’s third professional MMA bout, as he previously came off a loss from a few years back and won. With his kickboxing efficiency, Saki is a nightmare matchup for Khalil Rountree Jr, who has potential, but a lack in technical skills.