Fantasy Football Week 14 Start and Sit
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Big Ben has been notorious for underachieving on the road in his career but has been very reliable this season, averaging 25 fantasy points per week in his last five road games. The Steelers now get the Raiders in Oakland this week who allow the third most fantasy points to QB’s and rank 32nd in the NFL in sacks. With James Conner out this week, Ben will be expected to pick up a lot of the slack. I expect a big day from Roethlisberger this week as he finishes as a top 3 QB alongside Drew Brees and Phillip Rivers.
Michel struggled in week 13 against a tough Minnesota run defense and had two touchdowns vultured by James Develin. Michel has a much easier matchup though in week 14 against the Dolphins who he had 112 yards and a TD against back in week 4. Miami ranks in the bottom 10 in rushing yards and receiving yards to RB’s and has allowed 14 or more fantasy points to RB’s all but three times this season. Timeshare shouldn’t be an issue as he had 17 carries last week and should put up RB1 numbers in a great matchup.
Jeff Wilson Jr.
Matt Breida aggravated his ankle injury in week 13 and has been ruled out this week. With Breida out Wilson Jr. will get the start and has a lot of promise after last weeks showing, finishing with 8 catches and 134 total yards against Seattle. Denver’s run defense has really stepped up since giving up back to back 200-yard games, but Wilson’s real value is in the passing game. With San Francisco expected to be down for much of the game, Wilson should get a lot of pass-catching opportunities. I expect a repeat of his 23 touches from last week regardless of game flow. With Chris Harris out for the season, Dante Pettis, who has 206 yards and 3 TD’s the last two weeks, is also a nice WR3 option running out of the slot.
Sutton showed up last week reeling in 4 catches for 85 yards and a TD. Now with Emmanuel Sanders out for the season with a torn achilles, Sutton immediately becomes the #1 option in Denver and should now receive a similar target share to Kenny Golladay post-Tate/Jones. San Francisco has allowed the 8th most fantasy points to WR’s while leading the NFL in TD’s allowed to WR’s. Sutton is a high volume WR3 option in week 14.
With DeSean Jackson out last week, Chris Godwin took advantage, finishing with 101 yards and a TD. D Jax is out again this week when the Bucs face the Saints who give up the most fantasy points in the league to WR’s. With OJ Howard out for the year and Mike Evans expected to be covered by Marshon Lattimore, Godwin should see the lions share of the targets in a game that should be a high scoring affair.
Njoku has been awfully inconsistent this season but has taken advantage of favorable matchups when given the opportunity, scoring 9 or more fantasy points against the Raiders, Chiefs, Bucs and Bengals who are four of the bottom five teams against TE’s. He now plays against a struggling Panthers defense who gives up the 2nd most points to the position and has allowed 8 TE’s to put up top 12 numbers this year. David Njoku is a high floor TE1 with 20 point upside.
Russell Wilson has been extremely efficient getting the ball in the end zone this year, throwing 29 TD’s on the season and throwing multiple touchdowns in 11 of 12 games. In week 14 the Seahawks now face a Vikings defense that has held Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers (twice) to under 17 fantasy points and hasn’t allowed a QB to throw for multiples scores since week 5. With Wilson only throwing for over 300 yards once this season he is a tough start in a “win or go home” game.
Mack struggled mightily last week against the Jaguars (who were just torched by Derrick Henry on Thursday), rushing 8 times for 27 yards and was out-touched by Nyheim Hines 13 to 9. Now he has another tough matchup this week against the Houston Texans who have allowed the 3rd fewest rushing yards in the NFL. Mack was injured when these two teams faced off back in week 4, but in that game Wilkins, Hines and McNichols combined for 14 rushes for 30 yards. Hines did have 9 catches for 63 yards and 2 TD’s through the air however, and that could be the gameplan again as Marlon Mack hasn’t had more than 2 catches in a game this season.
Babytron is coming into week 14 with 44 targets his last four games and should get the lions share of the targets again this week but with no Marvin Jones or Kerryon Johnson, the Cardinals will make it an emphasis to shut him down. Patrick Peterson, who has only allowed two TD’s on the season, is also expected to shadow him. With Arizona ranking 29th in the NFL against the run I could, however, see a big game from LeGarrette Blount.
Jordan Reed had back to back 70+ yard games with Colt McCoy at the helm and looked like a real fantasy threat in the playoffs. That all changed after McCoy went down with a season-ending injury. In week 13 with Mark Sanchez, Reed had 4 catches for 21 yards, his second worst game of the year. He now plays the Giants who he had 38 yards against in week 8. As long as Sanchez is QB for the Redskins Reed is hard to trust.
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