QB Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens- $6,900
Jackson had a breakout in Week 1 and has been slowly dropping off since. At $6,900, you can make some profit in this game against the Cincinnati Bengals. While the Bengals are 10th-worst against opposing QBs this season, they’ve also given up the 2nd-most rushing yards to QBs.
The Bengals surrendered 93 yards and a rushing touchdown to rookie Kyler Murray, so don’t be surprised if Jackson has a breakout game on the ground this weekend. Cincinnati is also among the worst teams against RBs, where they’ve given up 374 yards and 3 touchdowns on 37 receptions so far this year.
QB Gardner Minshew, Jacksonville Jaguars- $5,000
Minshew has played very well this season, and in a matchup against the New Orleans Saints defense, I expect that trend to continue. His price of $5,000 allows for a stack with WR DJ Chark, whose price hasn’t caught up to his top five production this year.
In a Draft Kings matchup you’re really looking for roughly 3 points per thousand spent, so with stacking, you need just over 30 points between them.
QB Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons- $6,400
Ryan plays against that notorious pass defense of the Arizona Cardinals this weekend, making him a solid play. With the Falcons lineup premium talent across the field in Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley, Mohamed Sanu, and TE Austin Hooper, the Cardinals secondary will have a difficult time holding their own.
They’ve given up an average of 284 passing yards and 2.4 passing touchdowns through five games. Ryan is averaging 331 passing yards per game with 2.2 passing touchdowns. I would expect for him to have a big day.
RB Mark Ingram, Baltimore Ravens- $6,600
As mentioned, the Bengals’ defense has been underwhelming this season; particularly when it comes to running backs. They can be victimized through the air, which is great for a PPR format like Draft Kings. While Ingram hasn’t exactly been productive in the receiving game, he does lead the Ravens in targets from the running back position.
I expect the Ravens to be leading most of this game, meaning they’ll be pounding the ball for a large part in order to work the clock.
RB Le’Veon Bell, New York Jets- $6,400
There is no player in the NFL that has had as high a usage rate as Bell in terms of percentage of offense. Some of that weight should be taken off him this week as Sam Darnold returns, but he’ll still be a key part of their offensive game plan.
The Jets play the Dallas Cowboys this weekend, who have proven to be weak against running backs this yea. I’m looking at Bell as a great option in DFS this weekend.
WR Jamison Crowder, New York Jets- $4,000
Crowder saw 14 targets in Week 1 with Darnold under center, and with his return, his target share should skyrocket again. I’m not saying he’ll get 14 targets again, but it doesn’t take much to justify a $4,000 price tag.
Just 10 targets with 8 receptions for 40+ yards total covers his price point. If Crowder finds the end zone, he could help you score a win in DFS.
WR DJ Chark, Jacksonville Jaguars- $5,500
Chark has been WR5 on the season, but his price tag hasn’t caught up with his production. As I mentioned, you can expect the Jaguars to be throwing quite a bit against the Saints, and Chark should be the beneficiary of most of those targets.
Stacking him with Minshew for a combined price of $10,500 leaves room in your budget for a few big names to fill out the rest of your roster.
WR Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals- $6,100
Fitzgerald has always been a reliable receiver, and he now lines up against a Falcons defense that has given up the 3rd-most points to both QBs and WRs this season. As poor as the Cardinals have been when defending the pass this year, the Falcons have actually been worse, generating almost zero pressure against the opposing team’s QB (1.0 per game) and even less interceptions (2).
I expect the Falcons to win, but that just means the Cardinals will be throwing it a lot. When they are forced to throw it, they target Firzgerald.
WR Adam Thielen, Minnesota Vikings- $6,700
Thielen had a nice comeback game last week, and that trend could continue against a fairly weak Eagles secondary. The Vikings can’t afford to have their two top receivers continue to be upset with the offense, and I think they use last week and this week to make a concerted effort to get them the ball.
Last week, that lead to 8 targets, which Thielen turned into 130 yards and 2 TD. Let’s set the bar of expectation at 100+ yards and 1 TD this week.
TE Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons- $5,000
Hooper has always been a talented pass-catcher, and this week he goes up against that Cardinals defense I’ve already mentioned. They continue to be the worst in the league when it comes to giving up fantasy points to the tight end by a fairly wide margin. Stacking Ryan and Hooper is a smart move for this weekend.
TE Will Dissly, Seattle Seahawks- $4,900
Dissly has been a productive tight end this season, averaging 50+ yards per game receiving and 4 TD. The Cleveland Browns are somewhat vulnerable to tight end scoring, sitting as the 10th-worst in the league in fantasy points scored by opposing TEs.
Dissly has been averaging 5+ targets per week from Russell Wilson. Presuming he gets at least that in this game, you can expect him to turn it into 50+ yards and perhaps another score; justifying his price tag of $4,900.
Seattle Defense- $3,400
Seattle plays the dysfunctional Browns this weekend, lead by Baker Mayfield, who was held to a QB rating of just 13.4 in Week 5. Sadly, that game wasn’t an outlier, as he’s averaging under 250 yards passing yards per game and has thrown twice as many picks as touchdowns this season. I don’t see that ship being righted anytime soon, so pick up Seattle’s defense and take advantage of it this weekend.
QB- Gardner Minshew $5,000
RB- Mark Ingram $6,600
RB- Le’Veon Bell $6,400
WR- DJ Chark $5,500
WR- Jamison Crowder $4,000
WR- Larry Fitzgerald $6,100
TE- Austin Hooper $5,000
FLEX- Alvin Kamara $8,000
DST- Seattle $3,400
TOTAL SPENT: $50,000