2019 Fantasy Football Free Agency Calculator
Want to give the author direct feedback? Follow @DevonWithersTAH on Twitter for more insight.
In one of the largest NFL offseasons in the history of the league, household names will now be representing new organizations in 2019. With that, fantasy football owners are itching to figure out which players will benefit from their transition. Here is where each noteworthy fantasy player will finish next year:
New York Jets: RB Le’Veon Bell
Despite sitting out the entire 2018 season, RB Le’Veon Bell will still be a 1st-round pick in fantasy leagues in 2019. In his last 3 full seasons played, Bell has been a top 4 running back option in fantasy football.
The question suddenly becomes whether his shift over to the New York Jets will hinder his production. In the worst case scenario, Bell becomes a low-end RB1 with no surrounding threats to steal serious targets or carries.
2018 fantasy points: 0
2019 fantasy points projected: 198.9
Jacksonville Jaguars: QB Nick Foles
The signing of QB Nick Foles is a serious commitment for the Jacksonville Jaguars, but fantasy owners are cautioned to stay away. The last Jaguars wide receivers to put up 1,000+ receiving yards were Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns; both in 2015.
Foles is certainly an upgrade from Blake Bortles, but will sit on the waiver wire for a vast majority of the fantasy season. Unless you are in a 2 QB league, look elsewhere.
2018 fantasy points: 75.72
2019 fantasy points projected: 183.4
Baltimore Ravens: RB Mark Ingram
Even with a 4-game suspension in 2018, RB Mark Ingram totaled 645 yards and 7 TD. Entering his 9th season, Ingram is currently ranked as RB27. Although he comes into Baltimore as a lead back, the Ravens haven’t produced a 1,000-yard rusher since Justin Forsett in 2012.
Mark Ingram will come into Baltimore as an RB2/FLEX at best, but his red zone potential is hard to ignore. As long as Lamar Jackson doesn’t steal too many attempts, Ingram can become a valuable asset.
2018 fantasy points: 121.5
2019 fantasy points projected: 164.8
Dallas Cowboys: WR Randall Cobb
Remaining in the NFC, WR Randall Cobb heads to the Dallas Cowboys, who haven’t been well-known for creating stud fantasy receivers under Dak Prescott. Limited to 9 games in 2018, Cobb posted his lowest fantasy total (48.3) since his 2011 rookie campaign (38).
With Cole Beasley gone, Allen Hurns coming back from injury, and Jason Witten posing as no threat to steal targets, Randall Cobb may have placed himself in the perfect situation. In seasons where Cobb plays 13+ games, he averages 133.72 fantasy points per season, which would have posted him as WR23 in 2018.
2018 fantasy points: 48.3
2019 fantasy points: 90.2
Buffalo Bills: RB Frank Gore
After one season in Miami, RB Frank Gore remained in the AFC East and elected to sign with a rival in the Buffalo Bills. With a career-low fantasy season (excluding 2005) last year, it’s difficult to find potential in 35-year old sitting behind another aging veteran in LeSean McCoy.
Labeled as RB67 going into next season, the fantasy value of Gore is reliant on the productivity of McCoy. After McCoy put up a career-low 93.2 fantasy points in 2018, there is a possibility that the Bills will look to Gore as a breath of fresh air.
2018 fantasy points: 90.6
2019 fantasy points projected: 129.9
Oakland Raiders: WR J.J. Nelson
Since entering the league in 2015 as a 5th-round pick, it’s been difficult to find WR J.J. Nelson as a reliable fantasy option. In 2016, Nelson posted 100+ fantasy points, but since then has somewhat dissapointed.
Despite his speed, Nelson is not expected to play a major offensive role in Oakland. It is safe to say that Nelson will put up more than the 6.4 fantasy points he contained in 2018, but not by much.
2018 fantasy points: 6.4
2019 fantasy points projected: 41.2
Cleveland Browns: WR Odell Beckham Jr.
After being traded to the Cleveland Browns, WR Odell Beckham Jr. has the opportunity to be the first player in franchise history to record 1,300+ yards and 10+ TD; something he has done 5 times with New York. Through his 4 qualified seasons, Beckham has averaged 194.06 fantasy points per season. That amount would have ranked 15th among wide receivers in 2018.
Although Beckham Jr. is a household name, I worry about the targets he is now forced to share. Through his 12 games last season, Beckham Jr. held 10+ targets in 8 of them, and contained 9 targets in 2 other outings.
2018 fantasy points: 153.34
2019 fantasy points projected: 187.8
Chicago Bears: RB Mike Davis
After taking advantage of his 2018 campaign, RB Mike Davis took his talents from Seattle to Chicago during free agency. With 102.8 fantasy points this past season, Davis truly came out of nowhere, totaling 58.2 fantasy points from 2015-17 between San Francisco and Seattle.
With Jordan Howard out of the picture, Mike Davis has potential to steal reps from Tarik Cohen in 2019. While his sample size is minimal, invest on Davis as a bench asset moving into the new fantasy season.
2018 fantasy points: 102.8
2019 fantasy points projected: 135.8
New York Jets: WR Jamison Crowder
Prior to his ankle injury in 2018, WR Jamison Crowder was averaging nearly 750 receiving yards per season with the Washington Redskins. Even then, Crowder’s peak season in 2016 with 124.5 fantasy points isn’t particulary attractive to fantasy owners.
With Robby Anderson, Quincy Enunwa, and newcomer Le’Veon Bell on the New York Jets roster, the stock for Crowder isn’t high by any means. He may be a selection in the later rounds, but won’t play a factor towards a fantasy championship reign.
2018 fantasy points: 53.8
2019 fantasy points projected: 86.4
Indianapolis Colts: WR Devin Funchess
Going from the Carolina Panthers to the Indianapolis Colts on a one-year deal, Devin Funchess is perhaps the most shocking wide receiver to change teams. In 2017, Funchess posted 840 receiving yards and 8 TD for 132 fantasy points. The following year, he was forced to miss 4 starts, bringing his fantasy total down to 78.9; a 25.2% decline.
When QB Andrew Luck is on the field, he has the ability to produce fantasy weapons. Eric Ebron (TE4) and T.Y. Hilton (WR14) would be prime examples from 2018. Funchess will slide in nicely, but is more of a FLEX in select matchups than anything else.
2018 fantasy points: 78.9
2019 fantasy points projected: 87.2
New York Giants: WR Golden Tate
WR Golden Tate has been a fantasy asset for quite some time, posting 100+ fantasy points in each of the last 7 seasons. Playing under quarterbacks such as Russell Wilson, Matthew Stafford, and even a committee under the Philaelphia Eagles, he now receives the opportunity to play alongside Eli Manning in his age 38 season.
With limited starting time in 2018, Tate posted his worst fantasy total (108.9) since 2011. Even without Odell Beckham Jr. on the roster to steal targets, fantasy owners should be skeptical of Tate’s ceiling in 2019.
2018 fantasy points: 108.9
2019 fantasy points projected: 120.6
New England Patriots: WR Maurice Harris
Only starting 7 games in 2018 with the Washington Redskins, WR Maurice Harris doesn’t provide much potential. His peak perfomance came in Week 9 against the Atlanta Falcons, where Harris totaled 10 receptions and 124 receiving yards.
Outside of that one game, Harris put up only 18 receptions and 180 receiving yards. With Phillip Dorsett and Julian Edelman as the other prime targets, the health of Harris will be the largest factor in his play for 2019.
2018 fantasy points: 31.4
2019 fantasy points projected: 42.9
New Orleans Saints: RB Latavius Murray
After departing from Mark Ingram in free agency, the New Orleans Saints decided to bring in RB Latavius Murray as a handcuff to Alvin Kamara. Often overlooked, Murray has totaled 100+ fantasy points, as well as 6+ rushing TD in each of the last 4 seasons.
In common leagues, Murray will be nothing more than an essential handcuff to Kamara in the later rounds. Expect for Murray to be stashed as a bench piece, as owners will use his services as trade bait at a later date.
2018 fantasy points: 109.9
2019 fantasy points projected: 119.7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: WR Breshad Perriman
With split time between the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns over the last 3 seasons, WR Breshad Perriman has become an underwhelming fantasy pick for those who fell for the bait early in his career. The peak of Perriman’s young fantasy career came in his rookie season, where he posted 68.1 fantasy points. That amount would have labeled him as WR75 in 2018.
Even with Adam Humphries off the Tampa Bay Buccaneers roster, Perriman isn’t worth a bench slot in most leagues. In fact, unless you’re placed within a dynasty league, avoid him at all costs.
2018 fantasy points: 46.2
2019 fantasy points projected: 51.1
Detroit Lions: TE Jesse James
Forced to share targets with Pittsburgh Steelers TE Vance McDonald, TE Jesse James still managed 50+ fantasy points in each of the last 3 seasons. Aside from Eric Ebron in 2015-16, the Detroit Lions have struggled to put together attractive fantasy tight ends.
James finished as TE10 last season, but will likely won’t see much of an elevation in 2019. Stafford finished 14th among pass attempts last season, with only 34 receptions going to his tight ends.
2018 fantasy points: 54.3
2019 fantasy points projected: 58.1
Buffalo Bills: WR John Brown
Under Joe Flacco, we found WR John Brown total 601 yards and 4 TD. When the Baltimore Ravens transitioned to Lamar Jackson’s run-first offense, Brown finished the final 7 games with 114 yards and 1 TD.
The transition to Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills will prove to be beneficial, but it may take some time to develop. Brown is competing with Cole Beasley, as well as returning candidates in Zay Jones and Robert Foster for targets.
2018 fantasy points: 101.9
2019 fantasy points projected: 105.3
New England Patriots: WR Bruce Ellington
WR Bruce Ellington is an interesting pickup by the New England Patriots, considering he is more of a special teams asset than a fantasy football selection. His peak season was 2017 with the Houston Texans, where Ellington was only targeted 57 times.
The New England Patriots are one of the toughest teams to decipher when it comes to finding a fantasy stud. Although someone needs to replace the production of Cordarrelle Patterson, it won’t be Ellington.
2018 fantasy points: 28.6
2019 fantasy points projected: 31.5
Detroit Lions: WR Danny Amendola
Entering his 11th season in the NFL, WR Danny Amendola will make for a great precense for the Detroit Lions offense. During free agency, the front office also invested in TE Jesse James and OL Oday Aboushi.
In terms of fantasy value, Amendola has never been an attractive asset. His 15 games started in 2018 were a career-high, but his average of 64.2 fantasy points per season over the last 3 years are worrisome. I would shy away from Amendola, even when your starters are on their presumed bye weeks.
2018 fantasy points: 68.42
2019 fantasy points projected: 71.3
San Francisco 49ers: RB Tevin Coleman
In a peculiar signing, the San Francisco 49ers added former Atlanta Falcons RB Tevin Coleman to their backfield. With Jerick McKinnon coming off of a season-ending injury from 2018, the logic is present in why the front office felt the need to bring in Coleman.
In each of the last 3 seasons, Coleman has put up 140+ fantasy points. In the absence of Devonta Freeman in Atlanta in 2018, Coleman still put up 766 rushing yards, 235 receiving yards, and 8 combined TD. If McKinnon is sidelined for any reason, Coleman has shown previous capability of holding his own.
2018 fantasy points: 161.6
2019 fantasy points projected: 164.2
Philadelphia Eagles: WR DeSean Jackson
WR DeSean Jackson may be just one of the most frustrating players to analyze when it comes to fantasy football. In 2 of his 5 seasons between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Washington Redskins, Jackson has failed to record 100+ fantasy points. However, within Jackson’s previous 6-year stint with the Philadelphia Eagles, he totaled 110+ fantasy points in 5 of those seasons.
The system in Philadelphia has obviously changed since 2013, and there is no telling exactly what role Jackson will play. Leading the league with 18.9 yards per reception in 2018 with the Buccaneers, there is some gas left in the 32-year old’s tank.
2018 fantasy points: 110.3
2019 fantasy points projected: 105.7
Pittsburgh Steelers: WR Donte Moncrief
With 89 targets in 2018, WR Donte Moncrief will now be plugged in as the WR2 behind JuJu Smith-Schuster. Having lost multiple offensive pieces over the offseason, the Pittsburgh Steelers may be forced to feed Moncrief targets by default.
With only 2 games above 90+ receiving yards last season, it’s difficult to trust Moncrief on a weekly basis. At best, he will be considered a low-end FLEX in redraft leagues.
2018 fantasy points: 82.8
2019 fantasy points projected: 77.4
Tennessee Titans: WR Adam Humphries
After a career-best year with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2018, it was a surprise to see WR Adam Humphries transition to the Tennessee Titans. With an average of 6.6 targets per game, Humphries will find himself splitting targets with Corey Davis, who averaged 7.0 last season.
Under the right setting, Humphries may see another 100+ fantasy point season. Although Marcus Mariota isn’t notorious for creating fantasy studs, Humphries should be viewed as a FLEX/low-end WR2.
2018 fantasy points: 112.7
2019 fantasy points projected: 106.6
Carolina Panthers: WR Chris Hogan
After spending each of the last 3 seasons with the New England Patriots, WR Chris Hogan signed with the Carolina Panthers in hopes of reviving their wide receiver corps. In 2018, Hogan only secured 5+ receptions on 2 occassions, and was limited to 3 TD all season.
Although the Panthers lost WR Devin Funchess in free agency, Hogan isn’t a prime fantasy option. The last time he secured 90+ fantasy points was in 2016; the only time he has done so.
2018 fantasy points: 71.2
2019 fantasy points projected: 64.8
Oakland Raiders: WR Tyrell Williams
The Oakland Raiders obviously added a large asset in WR Antonio Brown, but where does WR Tyrell Williams fall into place? Among receivers with 40+ receptions in 2018, Williams ranked 9th when it came to yards per reception (15.9).
With 5 TD on his resume last season, it will be difficult to repeat his success in 2019. The 27-year old has totaled 90+ fantasy points in each of the last 3 seasons, but his success is dependent on the play of Antonio Brown moving forward.
2018 fantasy points: 96.8
2019 fantasy points projected: 88.7
Chicago Bears: WR Cordarrelle Patterson
Primarily viewed as a special teams asset, the New England Patriots found a way to involve WR Cordarrelle Patterson on offense. His 4 TD in 2018 marked a career-high, but Patterson hasn’t been relevant in fantasy since his 104.7 fantasy outing in 2013 (his rookie season).
Even in deep fantasy leagues, Patterson will likely go undrafted. The Chicago Bears ranked 24th in passing attempts in 2018, and will maintain the same offensive scheme in 2019.
2018 fantasy points: 69.5
2019 fantasy points projected: 57.2
Philadelphia Eagles: RB Jordan Howard
After being traded from the Chicago Bears to the Philadelphia Eagles, RB Jordan Howard still finds himself stuck in a committee of running backs. Just last season, 4 different running backs on the Eagles roster saw 45+ carries, but only Josh Adams surpassed 500 rushing yards.
Since the departure of LeSean McCoy, the Eagles have been missing out on a reliable workhorse back. With 160+ fantasy points in each of the last 3 seasons, Howard will look to become the first Eagles running back with 5+ rushing TD since Ryan Matthews in 2016.
2018 fantasy points: 160
2019 fantasy points projected: 147.2
Buffalo Bills: WR Cole Beasley
The peak of WR Cole Beasley’s fantasy career came in 2016; which happens to be the rookie season for Dallas Cowboys QB Dak Prescott. Although he makes for a great slot receiver, his fantasy value remains minimal.
Through his 6 qualified fantasy seasons, Beasley has only averaged 74.2 points per season. That amount would have ranked 83rd among WRs during the 2018 season. In deep leagues, Beasley shouldn’t be considered anything more than a bench piece.
2018 fantasy points: 85.2
2019 fantasy points projected: 64.1
Oakland Raiders: WR Antonio Brown
The Oakland Raiders added 3 wide receivers during the offseason, but Antonio Brown is by far the most attractive name in regards to fantasy football. In 2018, Brown led the league with 16 receiving TD, and posted his best fantasy season since 2015.
Under Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders, Brown is projected to dip in terms of point projections. Last season, the Raiders ranked 18th in passing yards per game, and the top WR option was Jordy Nelson (63 receptions, 739 yards, 3 TD).
2018 fantasy points: 219.7
2019 fantasy points projected: 180.3
You must log in to post a comment.